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2022 College Football Predictions

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How this works: Our mannequin makes use of the School Soccer Playoff choice committee’s previous habits and an Elo rating-based system to anticipate how the committee will rank groups and in the end select playoff contestants, accounting for components that embrace report, power of schedule, convention championships gained and head-to-head outcomes. It additionally makes use of ESPN’s Soccer Energy Index and the committee’s rankings to forecast groups’ probabilities of successful. (Earlier than Nov. 1, when the CFP will launch its first rankings, the Related Press High 25 ballot is used as an alternative.) The groups included above both have at the least a 0.5 p.c probability of constructing the playoff or are within the prime 25 in at the least one of many three rankings we use in our mannequin: FPI, the Elo-based score or CFP/AP. Each forecast replace relies on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season. Full methodology »

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